Expert Analysis on Sunday's Slate of Games!
Happy New Year everyone! Week 17 is upon us and we have some fantastic games ahead. There are several clinching scenarios with many playoff hopes hanging in the balance.
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Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This game is the one for practically all the marbles in
terms of who will win the NFC South. The fact that we're sitting here in
December with Sam
Darnold ($3.01, 17%) battling Tom Brady ($9.31,
-9%) for the rights to the division goes to show just how unpredictable pro football
really is.
The Panthers have no business winning this football game,
especially considering that they traded for Baker Mayfield
($2.56, 11%) as the savior for Matt Rhule, and both of them are out of the
Carolinas. However, just like earlier this season, we shouldn't rule out this
team, as they beat Tampa Bay earlier after the shakeup. If they're going to
pull off this upset, we're going to have to see them be as productive on the
ground as they were last week against the Lions. After D'onta Foreman
($1.69, 32%) and Chuba Hubbard
($5.59, 14%) combined for almost 200 yards on the ground last week, it isn't
impossible to think they can continue to do so again this week.
Sam Darnold hasn't exactly lit the world on fire this year,
but over the last 3 weeks, we have seen DJ Moore ($0.78,
14%) come to life and be as good as many had hoped when they acquired Mayfield
this off-season. As we have written the last 3 weeks, Terrance Marshall
($2.16, -1%) also still has life on this team as he has taken a step forward as
well. The Tampa defense isn't the same as Detroit, they've had their issues
this season but are still a challenging team to score on.
As for the Tampa offense…it's a crap shoot. The one thing we
have learned this season is that if you give this team a glimmer of hope, Tom
Brady will deliver the dagger still and will his team to victory. Despite
having Mike
Evans ($5.84, -13%) and Chris Godwin
($10.76, -1%) at his disposal though, this team hasn't been able to figure it
out offensively at least consistently.
With a scattershot offensive line in front of him, Brady has
been under constant duress this season and it's difficult to see it getting any
better against a talented Carolina defensive front. Leonard Fournette
($13.10, 27%) will likely be relied upon heavily in the run and pass game again
if they are going to thwart off the upset. In all, I think Tampa should win
this game, but still believe it is a 50-50 shot and wouldn't be surprised if
Carolina blanks them again this season and steals the division on Tampa’s home
turf.
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
This is another divisional matchup, but the implications are
far from the same as the Carolina game. Although Minnesota cliched the division
weeks ago, the Vikings are still fighting for the #1 seed after Philadelphia
lost to Dallas. While they would need the Eagles to lose out, it's not
impossible with Jalen Hurts
($3.65, -1%) going down with a shoulder injury. Green Bay is battling to keep
their season alive as they must win out and get some help just to make the
postseason. Both teams have a lot to play for, and it's a bitter rivalry so it
should be a fun one!
I said earlier this week that I don't think Aaron Jones
($5.24, -15%) will be back with the Packers next season based on his deal and I
still believe that. In recent weeks AJ Dillon ($2.67,
9%) looks like the new sheriff in town and has received a bulk of the carries
and scoring opportunities. Jones may have a strong game against this Viking
defense, but I still expect Dillon to be heavily involved.
Aaron Rodgers
($7.52, -4%) also has his full rookie arsenal back in action with Christian Watson
($9.11, -3%) and Samori Toure
($1.39). While he hasn't been spectacular this season he looked like he was
comfortable last week in Miami and should be primed for another great week
considering the weather should be above-freezing.
As for the Vikings, they barely skated by the Giants this past week, and leave a lot to be desired. Kirk Cousins ($10, 8%) has looked remarkable this season except for the thumping they took against the Eagles early this season. Justin Jefferson ($17.26, 9%) should be in the conversation for MVP as well as this Vikings team would be a shell of itself without his services. The threat of Dalvin Cook ($4.54, -8%) is always real as well but he has proved unreliable to beat his projections week to week.
Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals
This one is for all the marbles, as the winner of this game
is in prime position to take home the coveted #1 seed as either team would own
the tiebreaker over the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, Cincinnati would need the
Chiefs to lose a game to take home the crown, but I don't think it is
impossible for a week 17 or 18 upset to happen at Kansas City's expense.
The Bengals enter this game with an air attack that should
keep Buffalo up at night. Tre White is a shell of his former self and this
Bills defense is tasked with guarding Ja'marr Chase
($10.65, -6%) and Tee Higgins ($6,
20%) along with unicorn Joe Mixon ($12.51,
7%). There are simply too many options for Joe Burrow
($12.68, 6%) to throw to and it should be a problem for the Bills’ hobbled
secondary. Buffalo does have a magnificent front 7 led by Ed Oliver but they
surely have missed Von Miller in recent weeks. I think the Bengals should have
a good night offensively Monday night with all the questions from the Buffalo
secondary.
However, that doesn't mean Cincinnati is going to ride off
into the sunset. I am not positive Buffalo wins this game, but I do know that Josh Allen
($28.24) will be a huge factor in this game. He is a human highlight reel, and
he gets a defense that has gives up a ton of points when they play elite
offenses. I predict this will be a big night from Stefon Diggs
($5.43, -17%) and perhaps another Dawson Knox
($1.65, 10%) game. James Cook ($3.46,
27%) could even play another big role as his versatility has been magnificent
in recent weeks for this team.
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Justin Andrew & The PredictionStrike Team
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