NFL Free Agency

 

We're winding down to the Super Bowl of the NFL off-season, also known as the NFL draft. It remains to be seen if anything happens between Aaron Rodgers ($6.91) and the New York Jets. Until something is done, which many expect it will, Zach Wilson ($2.38) remains the starting quarterback of the New York Jets.

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Speaking of the New York Jets, we did see a trade go down in recent weeks involving Elijah Moore ($3.21) who has longtime been one of my favorite young receivers in the league. Moore will be joining the Cleveland Browns and Deshaun Watson ($12.40). This is a big move that makes sense from the tea leaves we've heard this off-season.

Rumor has it that the Browns will be opening up the offense and suiting it towards the strengths of Watson. This shouldn't be a surprise either, with the assets they've used to acquire Watson they should be building the offense around him. That said, this likely results in less volume for Nick Chubb ($8.46). Already lacking consistent usage, Chubb has always relied upon efficiency. This season if you're holding Chubb, the one upside you're hoping for is they're in the red zone more often for him to finish off the drive. Without significant touchdowns, I don't see any other scenario involving him being a worthwhile investment option.

Mike Florio recently mentioned something that also seemed to be a bit of a head-scratcher. Rumors are again surfacing that San Francisco is flirting with Kirk Cousins ($9.45). This is a rumor that refuses to go away and has been linked to Shannahan consistently. Cousins makes sense for San Francisco to a certain degree, but the cap space could be a significant issue for the team to pull this off. They could restructure and add voidable years under the Trent Williams agreement but still will be a problem down the line.

Adding Cousins would undoubtedly bring San Francisco right back into the Super Bowl discussion. Except for the fact that Cousins still has the stigma of not being able to close the deal with the season on the line. The last time we saw Cousins struggle to lift the Vikings over the hump to win a playoff game against the underdog Giants and Daniel Jones ($1.12).

Pursuing Cousins is a risky proposition for several other reasons. Pursuing Cousins would essentially mean San Francisco has given up on Trey Lance ($4.02). Perhaps that means they would be done with Brock Purdy ($1.42) as well? They've poured significant assets into Lance and have been given a get-out-of-jail-free card in selecting Purdy as Mr. Irrelevant. Acquiring Kirk Cousins puts the microscope back on this team  and seems like they would be entering this season with high aspirations. Perhaps their seat is hotter than we think? They are at the tail end of their "window" with Deebo Samuel ($2.63), George Kittle ($4.34), and Christian McCaffrey ($17.64). That would be the only reason I could think of that they would move forward with discussions like this.

Lastly, again we wait until we see what happens with Lamar Jackson ($3.69) and his contract. There hasn't been a lot of movement within his deal, and it doesn't feel like it's going to be resolved anytime soon. The one noteworthy item that I have heard is that perhaps interest will begin to pick up after the NFL draft. If you were the Colts you would have to give up the 4th overall pick and the 2025 pick in an attempt to land Jackson. However, if they make a run after the draft they would have their 4th pick selected and would give up 2025 and 2026 first-rounders. This has me believing that most teams if they were interested would be waiting to do a deal. As has been the case for much of the off-season, we will continue to wait and see what happens. This must be how Jordan Love ($1.08) felt over the last 3 years.



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Justin Andrew & The PredictionStrike Team



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