Showing posts from June, 2022

NFL Offseason on PredictionStrike: Finding Opportunities

As we inch towards our three-day holiday weekend, we also inch closer to the opening of training camp. Some would consider this the prime time to get values on players, as we know the least about what is to come in the coming months. However, the opposite side of the coin is that once those pads go in…injuries are bound to happen. I believe the players coming off heavy workloads bear the most risk of injury and being let down. Last off-season Derrick Henry ($28.16) was coming off of a season that saw him touch the ball 397 times between carries and receptions. The following season, he was injured halfway through the year. The trend continues, as we continue to peel the onion back each year with Christian McCaffrey ($14.93). We've indeed had 5 running backs repeat as the top back in the last 20 years, but 3 of those were from 2002-2006, and Todd Gurley bucked the trend once before going into the abys. The main point I'm getting at here is the odds of Jonathan Taylor ($1